For part of our NBA Preview in Dime #37 (on newsstands now), we went to two of the League’s All-Stars — Gilbert Arenas and Carlos Boozer — to have them break down their respective conferences for the ‘07-08 campaign. We got up with Gil soon after he landed in NYC for another preview; the one for his adidas Gil II Zero kicks. In between that he took some time to give us his take on the Eastern Conference:
Dime: Who’s going to be the story of the East this year?
Gilbert Arenas: Everyone’s gonna look at Boston to see how they come off – I’m interested, too. Even though they have three super-studs over there, they’re also old, you know? They’re older players. I hate to sound like that, but they’re older players. It’s not like they’re 26 still and they can run up and down with us. Ray Allen’s coming off of two ankle surgeries, so that’s gonna be hard to run with all the two-guards. I’m interested to see how that team comes along.
I’m not worried about who plays point guard. With three guys that talented, I mean, just bring up the ball and pass it. Do you really need him trying to average 10 assists? Not really. He has to be able to shoot. When we play them, we’re gonna leave Rondo open. Like, We’re just gonna leave you and let you beat us.
And you’re not gonna double Garnett at the end of the game anyway, because we already know who’s gonna take the last shot: Paul Pierce. See, everybody’s like “Who do you double at the end of the game?” You double Paul. Make Kevin beat you. If you ever look at game-winners, have you ever seen Kevin really take one? He’s a first-through-third period player, then he wants to get everyone involved because everyone’s so focused on him at the end of the game. It’s gonna be a battle between Ray and Paul for the last shot. If it’s me I’m like “Let Kevin take it.” Because it’s his nature to be so unselfish that he doesn’t want that shot.
Dime: Where do the Wizards fit into the conference picture?
GA: I think we got a lot better coming off the bench. I don’t wanna dog the team from last year, but we didn’t have a lot of scoring off the bench. Now we have Nick Young, who’s gonna fill up the stat sheet. We got Dominic McGuire who’s gonna come in. They’re young players – they might not get to play at the beginning, but once we get toward the playoffs, they’re gonna be good.
Dime: After the Celtics, what other teams got better that jump out at you?
GA: New Jersey got better. They were a playoff team last year, and now they got Krstic back and they got Magloire. So that makes them better.
Orlando … they lost Grant Hill, they lost what he did there. I thought about them, and I know they made the playoffs last year, but – ’cause you know I sit there and play around with the lineups – Orlando could be the team that’s in or out of the playoffs, just because Rashard, I don’t see him fitting in as well with Dwight. Rashard is more of a back-to-the-basket guy; he can give you buckets in the post. I just don’t see where he opens up the floor for Dwight. Him and Ray played so well together; I don’t see where that true combination will come with him and Dwight.
Dime: Obviously you’re familiar with the Cavs after the playoff losses in ’06 and last year. What do you think of their team?
GA: They didn’t really do anything [in the offseason], did they? But they’re gonna be good because they have a consistent team, so their team is gonna win 50-something games. That’s who they are.
When I look at Detroit, I think they got worse in the sense where if they don’t get Webber back, they decline. Because you lost Ben Wallace, who won a championship for you, and you replace him with a scorer in Webber. Now if you lose Webber, where’s that center? Now you don’t have a defensive center or a scorer. Who’s coming in there? Jason Maxiell? Ohhh-kay. You’re gonna have a 6-4 center? So I look at them like they’re on the decline.
Miami, that’s still a dangerous team. You look at them and even though they’re older in age, they still got D-Wade and they went and got Smush. That’s a wild card team. They can either be really great or average.
Then Chicago, I think it’s the same thing. They might win 50 games. They won’t be a standout; they’ll just be a consistent, grind-it-out, defensive team.
Dime: What about the Knicks?
GA: You know, on paper – I’ll say it was like two years ago, when they had Jalen Rose, Steph … they had four guards who were All-Stars – on paper, it was one of the deadliest teams in the League because when they take [Steph and Francis] out, they had two more All-Stars in Jamal Crawford and Jalen Rose. So I was like, “This is a hard team if they really wanna play.” Same thing with this year. If they don’t play together, they’re gonna do the same thing they’ve been doing.
Dime: Looking at the rest of the Eastern Conference Lottery teams – Philly, Atlanta, Indiana, Charlotte, Milwaukee – do any of them stand out to you?
GA: To make the playoffs? Less than likely. None of ’em. But one team that’s gonna be good two to three years from now: Atlanta. That’s gonna be a good team. Milwaukee is gonna be a talented team. You know, they might sneak into the playoffs [this year]. They’ll be in the fight. If they don’t do it this year I’ll give it to ’em next year. Charlotte has J-Rich over there. And I know he hated that trade, but that’s going to help him out. All they do is catch-and-shoot, so he’s gonna love it. They’re about four, five years away from being a dominant team.
Dime: Who’s going to be in the race for MVP, particularly in the East?
GA: You know it’s gonna start off with me, Dwyane Wade, LeBron … probably Garnett. Until you start winning, that’s when you separate everybody. At the end of the day, it’s all about winning.
Dime: Who’s a player in the East that people aren’t talking about who will have a breakout year?
GA: You know who I like? I like (Jose) Calderon. I don’t know why … I just like his game. He’s just gotten so much better since he first came into this League. I like that whole team. That Toronto team is deadly.
Joe Johnson can be very special if that team can win, because somehow he just gets it done. I remember we came into the Draft together and they kept saying he’s a special kid, so when I used to watch him I was like, “OK, he’s not a jumper. He doesn’t really do much.” But when you just sit there and watch him you say, “There it is.” You see it.
I wanna see what Dwight gives me this year. Am I gonna get more than just power? Give me a right hook, left hook … show me something.
On my team, Nick Young. If he can get on the floor with me, Antawn and Caron – I know that’s a small lineup – but if he can get in with us, he’s gonna be special because he doesn’t have worry about learning offense, he can just come in and fire it. Because at the end of the day we score and run so much, everyone’s gonna get opportunities. It’s not like we have 40 possessions, so when someone takes 20 shots that’s ball-hogging. If we get 80 possessions, it’s like, “I got my 20. That’s 60 more to go around.”
The Dime says that Carlos Boozer’s Western Conference preview will get posted later today. Keep an eye out for it on Dime Mag’s website.